Our Forecast area

Our Forecast area
Our Forecast area

Friday, February 17, 2012

Forecast for Rochester and La Crosse and the rest of the area.

Forecasts is cut and dry for the most part. Some problems do show up for Monday and Tuesday in regards to snow vs rain or rain vs mix.The weekend is will be dry and warm. Still will a few degrees cooler than what is has been so  middle to upper 30s will be forecasted, Could see a 40 or two down in my IA Counties. High pressure will give way to a rather complicated problem. Some of the models want to bring in a long wave while other form a low towards the Southwest. Either way this won’t be much of a concern to the FA if a low does form or if a long wave moves through. The only difference it will make it how much more rain would fall. Snow will not be that big of a problem for much of the area. Right now best areas to see snow will be well North of Rochester MN and over into my far Northern Counties of WI.Depsite  the warm SFC temps in those areas there should be enough evaporation cooling should allow for rain to mix with snow then switch over to all snow. Areas South of said line would see more rain on Monday through much of Tuesday. Rain cloud be mix with some snow at the start and then at the ending of this system. So overall  looks like a all rain event for Rochester over to La Crosse  and South of there.We will dry out for Tuesday night . Next little system to move through the area Once again should see more rain with some mix of snow vs all snow. As upper level profiles to warm for all snow. May see more snow over in my far Northern/Northeastern Counties of WI. Will hold on to rain snow mix through Thursday night as weak short waves drop into the area. Looks like next weekend will be dry and warm once again. Next storm system to effect on the 27th and 28th  the area appears to be heading North should give the FA more rain than anything. Will run with rain mixed with snow. GFS has the track to far to South and East. If this did work out the whole FA could be dealing with snow. Will not buy into that. Discussion with The Weather Center has also confirmed  GFS is an outlier.
The area forecast.
Tonight. Becoming PC. Lows 18 to 22.
Saturday. Sunny. Highs middle 30s.
Saturday night. Clear. Lows 17 to 20.
Sunday and Sunday night. Clear  highs middle to upper 30s. Lows in the middle 20ss.
Monday. Increasing clouds rain/snow in the later afternoon changing to all rain. Highs middle 30s.
Monday night. Cloudy Rain likely Snow likely far Northern areas. Lows upper 30s to lower 30s.
Tuesday. slight chance of rain mixing with some flurries. Light snow in the Northern areas ending. Highs  middle 30s.
Tuesday night. PC. Lows middle 20s.
Wednesday through Thursday. A slight chance of rain and snow…Highs middle to upper 30s. Lows in middle 20s.
Friday through Sunday. Dry warm highs ranging from the middle 30s to lower 40s. Lows ranging from the lower 20s to middle 20s.
Monday. Chance of rain.  Rain could be mix with some light snow at times. Highs middle 30s.
Monday night. Rain possible mixed with snow. Lows upper 20s to lower 30s.
Tuesday. Rain then mixing with snow before ending. Highs lower 30s.
Temps look to become colder as we head through the rest of new  week. With off and on light snow chances.

1 comment:

  1. Great site. We are from another blog that does weather forecasting for the same area. Your blog is so much better at the forecasts.You guys have much more useful information, the other blog has nothing. We love this blog and will check it often.Will no longer look at the other blog!

    ReplyDelete