Our Forecast area

Our Forecast area
Our Forecast area

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Severe thunderstorm is no more for some of the area, see below

Severe thunderstorm watch has been cancelled for all of my MN Counties except for Houston County. The severe thunderstorm watch is still in effect for all og my IA Counties, and most of my WI Counties.Until 1 AM.

Sunday, July 22, 2012

2012 heat so far.

Once again here is more info to bebunk some info we have seen.This comes from the NWS.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=arx&storyid=85515&source=0
This is some of the info you will see on the NWS link above. So once again we bring you the fact not the BS.

90 Degree Frequency Average Per Year 2012 So Far 2011 Total
La Crosse, WI 14.6 24 17
Rochester, MN 9.2 14 10
Austin, MN 10.3 15 11
Winona, MN 17.2 12 12
New Hampton, IA 13.4 16 11
Charles City, IA 15.5 18 11
Lancaster, WI 12.0 20 9
Mauston, WI 10.4 20 11
Medford, WI 6.5 3 6
95 Degree Frequency Average Per Year 2012 So Far 2011 Total
La Crosse, WI 3.3 10 7
Rochester, MN 2.1 1 4
Austin, MN 1.7 8 3
Winona, MN 4.8 7 5
New Hampton, IA 3.1 6 2
Charles City, IA 3.7 8 4
Lancaster, WI 2.6 8 0
Mauston, WI 1.1 7 1
Medford, WI 1.4 0 0

100 Degree Frequency Average Per Year 2012 So Far 2011 Total
La Crosse, WI 0.5 3 1
Rochester, MN 0.4 0 1
Austin, MN 0.0 0 1
Winona, MN 0.2 1 0
New Hampton, IA 0.6 0 0
Charles City, IA 0.6 0 0
Lancaster, WI 0.5 0 0
Mauston, WI 0.3 3 0
Medford, WI 0.3 0 0




The real deal with the July 18th severe storms plus other stuff

Ok here is the real deal with the severe storms that hit parts of my FA.
Map below is from the NWS showing warnings that they issued and storm reports.
Here is the text reports.


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
639 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1258 PM HAIL HAYFIELD 43.89N 92.85W
07/18/2012 M1.50 INCH DODGE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0151 PM HAIL 2 NE DEXTER 43.74N 92.67W
07/18/2012 M0.88 INCH MOWER MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0158 PM TSTM WND GST 1 W GRAND MEADOW 43.71N 92.59W
07/18/2012 E50.00 MPH MOWER MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0227 PM HAIL 1 S RACINE 43.76N 92.48W
07/18/2012 E0.75 INCH MOWER MN TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME SIZED HAIL

0227 PM TSTM WND GST 1 S RACINE 43.76N 92.48W
07/18/2012 E50.00 MPH MOWER MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0245 PM TSTM WND DMG SPRING VALLEY 43.69N 92.39W
07/18/2012 FILLMORE MN EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE BRANCHES UP TO 8 INCHES IN DIAMETER DOWN. LOCALIZED
STREET FLOODING.

0250 PM TSTM WND DMG SPRING VALLEY 43.69N 92.39W
07/18/2012 FILLMORE MN EMERGENCY MNGR

SIX THREE FOOT DIAMETER TREES DOWN. PARK PAVILION AND
APARTMENT BUILDING DAMAGED.

0254 PM TSTM WND GST 5 W PRESTON 43.67N 92.18W
07/18/2012 M49.00 MPH FILLMORE MN AWOS

0324 PM HAIL 3 W FREDERICKSBURG 42.96N 92.26W
07/18/2012 E1.50 INCH CHICKASAW IA PUBLIC

0327 PM TSTM WND GST HARMONY 43.56N 92.01W
07/18/2012 M53.00 MPH FILLMORE MN FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0328 PM HAIL RIDGEWAY 43.30N 91.99W
07/18/2012 E1.75 INCH WINNESHIEK IA PUBLIC

0340 PM TSTM WND DMG HESPER 43.48N 91.79W
07/18/2012 WINNESHIEK IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN TOWN.

0345 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S HIGHLANDVILLE 43.42N 91.68W
07/18/2012 WINNESHIEK IA PUBLIC

CORN BENT OVER AND SEVERAL TREES UPROOTED.

0345 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 N CRESCO 43.39N 92.12W
07/18/2012 M1.20 INCH HOWARD IA CO-OP OBSERVER

RAIN AMOUNT IN 45 MINUTES.

0350 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N DECORAH 43.32N 91.79W
07/18/2012 WINNESHIEK IA PUBLIC

LARGE TREE UPROOTED.

0400 PM TSTM WND GST DECORAH 43.31N 91.79W
07/18/2012 E50.00 MPH WINNESHIEK IA PUBLIC

0401 PM TSTM WND GST 4 N CALMAR 43.24N 91.87W
07/18/2012 M65.00 MPH WINNESHIEK IA CO-OP OBSERVER

0406 PM TSTM WND DMG DORCHESTER 43.47N 91.52W
07/18/2012 ALLAMAKEE IA CO-OP OBSERVER

BARN DESTORYED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0410 PM TSTM WND GST 1 NW WAUKON 43.28N 91.49W
07/18/2012 E50.00 MPH ALLAMAKEE IA PUBLIC

SOME CORN BENT OVER.

0414 PM TSTM WND GST 4 E NORDNESS 43.23N 91.70W
07/18/2012 M53.00 MPH WINNESHIEK IA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0415 PM TSTM WND DMG WEST UNION 42.96N 91.81W
07/18/2012 FAYETTE IA EMERGENCY MNGR

A FEW TREES DOWN AND POWER LINES DOWN

0415 PM TSTM WND GST DORCHESTER 43.47N 91.52W
07/18/2012 E45.00 MPH ALLAMAKEE IA CO-OP OBSERVER

COUPLE OF 6 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES DOWN.

0420 PM HEAVY RAIN DECORAH 43.31N 91.79W
07/18/2012 M1.50 INCH WINNESHIEK IA PUBLIC

HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0445 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N LYNXVILLE 43.28N 91.05W
07/18/2012 CRAWFORD WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROCK SLIDE ONTO HWY 35 NORTH OF LYNXVILLE.

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG FERRYVILLE 43.34N 91.08W
07/18/2012 CRAWFORD WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AROUND FERRYVILLE.

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG RICHLAND CENTER 43.34N 90.38W
07/18/2012 RICHLAND WI AMATEUR RADIO

5 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN AT 4TH AND CEDAR.

0448 PM HAIL 1 SW MOUNT IDA 42.96N 90.77W
07/18/2012 E0.25 INCH GRANT WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

0450 PM HEAVY RAIN MONONA 43.05N 91.39W
07/18/2012 M1.75 INCH CLAYTON IA PUBLIC

HALF HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0450 PM TSTM WND DMG SENECA 43.27N 90.97W
07/18/2012 CRAWFORD WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTS OF TREES POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS CRAWFORD COUNTY.
LOCATION ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0450 PM HEAVY RAIN BURR OAK 43.45N 91.88W
07/18/2012 M1.75 INCH WINNESHIEK IA BROADCAST MEDIA

HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0455 PM TSTM WND GST PRAIRIE DU CHIEN 43.04N 91.14W
07/18/2012 M52.00 MPH CRAWFORD WI AWOS

0501 PM TSTM WND DMG PRAIRIE DU CHIEN 43.04N 91.14W
07/18/2012 CRAWFORD WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN.

0512 PM TSTM WND GST PRAIRIE DU CHIEN 43.04N 91.14W
07/18/2012 M72.00 MPH CRAWFORD WI PUBLIC

MATURE TREES DOWN IN PARTS OF TOWN.

0512 PM TSTM WND GST BOSCOBEL 43.14N 90.70W
07/18/2012 M48.00 MPH GRANT WI ASOS

0530 PM TSTM WND DMG RICHLAND CENTER 43.34N 90.38W
07/18/2012 RICHLAND WI PUBLIC

LARGE TREES 3 FEET IN DIAMETER SNAPPED OFF 8 TO 12 FEET
ABOVE THE GROUND.

0530 PM FLOOD VIROQUA 43.56N 90.89W
07/18/2012 VERNON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME STREET FLOODING AROUND TOWN.

0533 PM TSTM WND DMG RICHLAND CENTER 43.34N 90.38W
07/18/2012 RICHLAND WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN THE CITY. ALSO OTHER TREES DOWN IN THE
COUNTY. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
Could someone tell me what a "very severe squall line" is I never in my life heard of that in the training I have in weather.Also I sure don't see any funnels that were reported, unlike that one blog is saying. More BS.
Another thing whew it is sure hot out there temps well into the 90s. NOT. Only 84 the highest temps is 86 in Down town Rochester. So SE MINNESOTA BUST WEATHER BLOG LIVES UP TO IT'S NAME ONCE AGAIN.
Below is our fast cast for temps through next week and weekend.
Low 90s to middle 90s for Monday. The rest of the week Middle 80s for our highs.Monday will be our last day we see the 90s. By Next weekend temps could be in the upper 70s to lower 80s.


Tuesday, July 10, 2012

Welcome

I would like to take this time to welcome all our new viewers from the other blog. Thanks for all the emails you all sent into us, makes us know we are doing our forecasts and reports like everyone of you want.There is NO BS on this blog just the hard cold facts. Also you will see if temps or whatever is corrected by the NWS we will update out report to reflect it. We we here at Weather 4 You look forward to bring you the best in weather forecasting and our reports. We have the latset tech stuff that we know the other blog doesn't have and can't get! Another reason why Weather 4 You is for YOU!
We will be the best forecast blog in this area. We may not update out forecast everyday unless things really change.
Once again thanks to all the new viewers!

Monday, July 9, 2012

Dry weather ahead this week

Nice long road of dry weather ahead for this week and lasting into the weekend. The area does need some rain, as drought conditions keep becoming stronger with each passing day. The only areas to see rain would well north of my forecast area, and so far that looks slim to none.However like last week models showing about the same things as far as precip goes, so I had to add the chance in on the map below.This may end up changing to a dry forecast up there as well.
Temps will slowly warm from the lower 80s to around 90 by Friday and holding either side of 90 for the weekend.


Sunday, July 8, 2012

Past heat wave facts!

Have added in some of the temps that were corrected by the NWS after my report was issued.
I also added in La Crosse temps throughout the heat wave, this will also show everyone it was cooler in the Rochester metro area than other places!
I went ahead and did this report on my own since The Weather Center is being a butthead!

I will talk about a lot of things, However you will notice I’m not going to run with maps, I’m going to give you the right information on this heat wave!

This information is only for the city of Rochester.

There was a long lasting heat wave that started back on July first and lasted through July 6th. Most days it was warmer up to the North I will talk about that later.

Time to look at what the high temps were….

June 30th .High was 88.Don’t think the heat wave started then!

July 1st. High was  91.

July 2nd. High was 92.

July 3rd . High was 90.Corrected temp to 93

July 4th . High was 93.

July 5th. High was 93.Correceted temp to 94

July 6th . High was 95. Corrected temp to 96

July 7th . High was 84. The heat wave broke this day.

My sky watchers across the Rochester metro are reported temps in the lower to middle 90s also. No 100s!!

Now if one wanted to find 100 degree temps one could find them at other sites like The Weather Channel and underground weather, weather bug. We all know they are wrong as they do a general over all view of the temps.

We did not tie or break in record highs in the Rochester metro area. The information below is to debunk some other info I have read.

What was interesting about this heat wave.

1 The days it lasted. Also this was not the longest heat wave for the area. We need to look back to the 1911 year and also the 1936s. 1936 was the worst year on record that I could find. So just ask some of the old people around and they will tell you about the dust bowl days.

2 the higher dewpoints we had with this heat wave. Dps where in the 70s.

3 wasn’t much wind to help make it feel cooler.

4  was no showers and storms to help cool the temps down a little in the late night hours and early morning hours.

5 it was warmer north of the area. From Red Wing to La Crosse and north of that line to Pine City MN to around the Hayward WI area.

Time to talk about that.

The Twin Cites metro area…Below is a report from the Minnesota Climatology Working Group

A History of 100 Degrees in the Twin Cities

For the second time in a week, the mercury hit 100 degrees or higher at the Twin Cities International Airport. The last time there were two 100 degree maximum temperatures in the Twin Cities was 1988, when there were four.

July 1-6, 2012 will also finish the warmest first six days of July on record in the Twin Cities with a preliminary average of 87 degrees F, higher than the next closest average (July 1-6 1949) with 84.2 degrees F.

It's been relatively uncommon to see the mercury reach 100 at the Twin Cities International Airport in recent years. Before 2011, the last time the maximum temperature was 100 degrees or more was on July 31, 2006 when the air temperature reached was 101 degrees. Looking back to 1873, the maximum temperature at the Twin Cities official measuring site has reached 100 or more on 64 occasions. The most was in 1936 with nine days. The last year with more than one 100 degree temperature was in 1988 with four.

Below is a table of all the dates since 1873 of days where the temperature was 100 or more at the offical Twin Cities observing site.

Year  Month Day   Precip      High  Low   Average

1883  7     1     0     100   72    86

1894  7     11    0     100   71    86

1894  7     26    0     100   75    88

1901  7     20    0     102   76    89

1901  7     23    0     101   74    88

1901  7     24    0     101   67    84

1913  8     15    0     100   74    87

1926  7     16    0     102   68    85

1931  6     28    0     102   82    92

1931  6     29    0     102   83    93

1931  6     30    0     100   82    91

1931  7     15    0     101   77    89

1931  7     16    0     100   80    90

1931  7     27    0     104   80    92

1931  9     10    0     104   75    90

1932  7     20    0.02  101   74    88

1933  6     19    0     100   75    88

1933  7     30    0     100   78    89

1934  5     31    0     106   75    91

1934  6     27    0     104   70    87

1934  7     21    0     105   73    89

1934  7     22    0     105   71    88

1934  7     23    0     105   80    93

1936  7     6     0     104   69    87

1936  7     7     0     101   80    91

1936  7     8     0     101   82    92

1936  7     10    0     106   80    93

1936  7     11    0     106   82    94

1936  7     12    0     106   83    95

1936  7     13    0     105   86    96

1936  7     14    0.04  108   72    90

1936  8     15    0.44  103   70    87

1937  7     10    0     100   76    88

1940  7     18    0     101   68    85

1940  7     19    0.02  100   76    88

1940  7     22    0     103   74    89

1940  7     23    0     103   75    89

1941  7     23    0     100   74    87

1941  7     24    0     104   76    90

1947  8     4     0     102   76    89

1947  8     5     0     100   78    89

1947  8     10    0     101   75    88

1947  8     17    0.28  100   72    86

1948  7     6     0     101   75    88

1949  7     3     0     100   79    90

1949  7     4     0     100   75    88

1955  7     26    0.08  100   73    87

1955  7     28    0     100   72    86

1956  6     13    0     100   77    89

1974  7     8     0     101   73    87

1976  7     13    0     100   69    85

1977  7     19    0     100   79    90

1980  7     11    0.3   100   72    86

1982  7     5     0     100   78    89

1985  6     8     0     102   64    83

1988  6     24    0     101   70    86

1988  7     15    0.06  102   79    91

1988  7     31    0     105   72    89

1988  8     1     0     101   74    88

1990  7     3     0     100   72    86

1995  7     13    0     101   75    88

2006  7     31    0.09  101   80    91

2011  6     7     0     103   78    91

2012  7     4     0     101   81    91

2012    7       6       0       102     78      90*

*as of 5pm July 6

Once again we see that the year 1936 was the hottest summer on record.

Let us look at Rice Lake WI.

The official highs.

The 3rd and 5th saw highs of 88. With The Weather Centers observers reporting upper 80s to a few lower 90s.

July 2nd Rice Lake broke their old record of 93 with an official temp of 95. Some of The Weather Center’s observers reported a few upper 90s. as well as their office. Also EAU set a record of 99 that broke the 1911 record of 98….. SO as one can see this day was warmer than the Rochester metro area.

July 4th saw another hot day up North. The official high for Rice Lake was 95.This tied the record of 95 that was set in 1972. Many of The Weather Center’s observers reported temps hitting the 100 degree mark, Their office also hit 100.

Once again this day was warmer up north than in the Rochester metro area.

July 6th was still a hot day with official temp of 91 while some of The Weather Center’s sites reported middle 90s.

July 1st was also warmer up north than in the Rochester metro area. Temps in the middle to upper 90s up in Rice Lake,WI.

La Crosse temps....
July 2nd. 99
July3rd. 99
July 4th. 103
July 5th. 98
July 6th. 103.
July 7th. 85
There you have the facts on this heat wave, there was no adding to them to make us look better. Just the hard cold facts.




Monday, July 2, 2012

Record highs up in WI

Eau Claire and Rice Lake set new record highs for today.
See The Weather Center's page for more data, as they just posted it! Rice Lake is warmer than we are down here in Rochester that is unreal!

Temp map

Forgot to add this map.This shows what I discued below. So don't let others fool you with fake reports.
My weather spotters in Rochester are all reporting low 90s 91 to 92.

Warmer up North

Once again today its warmer up north and east of Rochester.
The temps at 4 PM is 92.
The Cities coming at 98.
Eau Claire WI 98.
LA Crosse 98.
Decorah IA 93.
This is strange how this has been playing out over the last few days. Warmer north a little cooler south.

Current conditions as of 11 AM


Here are the Current Conditions at 11:00 am.

In Rochester temps are rather the same. Middle 80s My weather spotters are also reporting middle 80s across the city.

Dewpoints are in the upper 60s to lowers 70s making heat indexs around the 90 degree mark.

Over in La Crosse we seem temps in the lower 90s already, with a heat index of 97.  Boscobel reporting a temp of 94, with a heat index of 101.

Thinking is these is where we will see the warmer temps today, over my WI Counties,and into my IA Counties.

No severe weahter for the area

Some talk about severe thunderstorms for the area today and tonight. Well thats all it is, just talk.
Here is our severe thunderstorm threat area, as you can see the best chances will be along and north of the warm front.
Also see The Weather Center's discussion on this threat and their update on the heat wave.
Here is their link.This can also be found on the right.
http://dirksforecastingcenter.blogspot.com/
Their discussion on this heat wave may pan out. I do have to agree with their thinking.
Here is our severe weather threat map.